With the ODI series level at 1-1, both Bangladesh and New Zealand head into the third match in Chattogram with renewed optimism, thanks to a shift in playing conditions. Unlike the spin-assisted surfaces in Dhaka, the final game is expected to be played on a flatter pitch more conducive to batting.
The first two ODIs proved challenging for stroke-making, particularly for New Zealand’s batters, while Bangladesh required 35.3 overs to chase down 199 in the second match. The move to Chattogram, however, offers a different dynamic, with truer pace and bounce likely to aid scoring for both sides.
Batting Conditions Offer Opportunity
Despite signs of improvement in the previous game, Bangladesh’s batting remains an area of concern overall. That said, they have enjoyed success at this venue, winning three of their last four matches here, all while chasing.
For New Zealand, who have struggled to accelerate consistently during the tour, the conditions could provide a much-needed boost. The experienced trio of Henry Nicholls, Will Young and captain Tom Latham will be expected to lead the charge, especially at a ground where New Zealand have played just one ODI previously, back in 2008.
Spin Challenge and Team Balance
The Chattogram surface is unlikely to offer much assistance to spinners, which could leave Jayden Lennox with a demanding role as the primary spin option for New Zealand. Dean Foxcroft provides part-time support, while there could be consideration for including legspinner Adithya Ashok in the playing XI.
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On the other side, Bangladesh’s spinners Mehidy Hasan Miraz and Rishad Hossain will need to rely on accuracy and control rather than turn. The hosts are expected to continue with a three-pronged pace attack to suit the conditions.
In the Spotlight: Nahid Rana and Nick Kelly
Nahid Rana has emerged as a key figure for Bangladesh, building momentum with each series. His 5 for 32 in the previous match, where he struck across all phases of the innings, highlighted his growing influence. While the batting-friendly pitch may test him, his consistency in line and length could still make an impact.
Nick Kelly, meanwhile, showcased resilience with a composed 86 in the second ODI, holding the innings together amid regular wickets. Known for his strength through the off side, he faced challenges against deliveries targeting the leg side, as noted by Bangladesh wicketkeeper Litton Das. With a solid score behind him, Kelly will aim to build on that confidence.
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Team News: Selection Decisions Loom
Bangladesh have added Tanzim Hasan to the squad but may opt to retain the same XI despite the change in conditions.
Bangladesh (probable):
Saif Hassan, Tanzid Hasan, Soumya Sarkar, Najmul Hossain Shanto, Towhid Hridoy, Litton Das (wk), Mehidy Hasan Miraz (c), Rishad Hossain, Shoriful Islam, Taskin Ahmed, Nahid Rana
New Zealand could consider adjustments, particularly in their batting options. Tim Robinson’s inclusion in the previous match puts him in contention, while Adithya Ashok, Dane Cleaver and Ben Lister remain available.
New Zealand (probable):
Henry Nicholls, Nick Kelly, Will Young, Dean Foxcroft, Tom Latham (capt & wk), Muhammad Abbas, Josh Clarkson, Nathan Smith, Blair Tickner, Will O’Rourke, Jayden Lennox
Pitch and Weather
Recent results in Chattogram suggest a clear trend, with teams batting first losing the last four ODIs at the venue. This could influence the toss decision once again. Weather conditions may also play a role, with a 25 percent chance of rain forecast on Thursday morning.
With both teams having displayed strengths and weaknesses across the first two matches, the decider is poised to be closely contested, with batting performance likely to determine the outcome.
